U.S. Open 2026 Kicks Off at Shinnecock Hills with Elite Field and Expert Predictions

Elite Field Gathers at Historic Shinnecock Hills

The 126th U.S. Open launches this week at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, New York, bringing together 156 players who emerged from a massive pool of hopefuls. A total of 10,201 golfers entered the championship, just one shy of last year’s record, with dreams of competing at one of golf’s most revered venues. The fortunate few who secured starting times for Thursday’s first round represent diverse paths to qualification, from defending champions to teenage amateurs playing in their first major.

Among the field stands defending champion J.J. Spaun, who captured his surreal victory last year at Oakmont and continues adjusting to his elevated status in professional golf. The tournament also features Mason Howell, the U.S. Amateur champion and 18-year-old prodigy competing in his second U.S. Open before attending his first college class. They will play alongside World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, who aims to capture this week’s title and complete the career Grand Slam.

The championship welcomes 67 qualifiers who earned their spots through Final Qualifying on Golf’s Longest Day. Among them is Chase Kyes, who just completed his freshman year at Tennessee and didn’t realize the U.S. Open was days away when he secured his place at Shinnecock. Of the qualifiers, 16 golfers advanced through both local and final qualifying rounds, each hoping to match Orville Moody as the most recent U.S. Open winner to claim the trophy after playing both qualifying rounds when he won in 1969.

International Representation and Amateur Presence

The field showcases remarkable diversity, with 20 amateurs competing alongside professionals and 13 LIV golfers teeing up at Shinnecock. Players from more than 25 different countries will test themselves against the demanding layout, including Arni Sveinsson, who becomes the first golfer ever from Iceland to compete in the U.S. Open. This international flavor adds another dimension to an already compelling championship narrative.

Shinnecock Hills carries tremendous historical weight. Five previous U.S. Opens have crowned winners at this venue across more than a century of competition. The list of champions began with James Foulis in 1896 shooting 152 over 36 holes, continued through Raymond Floyd (1986), Corey Pavin (1995), and Retief Goosen (2004), before Brooks Koepka claimed his second consecutive U.S. Open title in 2018 with a winning score of one-over par.

Course Conditions and Player Reactions

“I think it’s the best championship test in the country,” Rory McIlroy, who missed the cut at the 2018 U.S. Open at Shinnecock, said in a press conference Tuesday. “It tests all aspects of the game-driving, iron play, you need to have your wits about you on the greens. … It’s a golf course where it can turn very quickly.”

McIlroy captured the sentiment perfectly regarding Shinnecock’s formidable challenge, despite his disappointing result there eight years ago. The windy conditions expected this week will add yet another layer of difficulty to an already demanding test. Players must navigate not only the course’s strategic demands but also Mother Nature’s unpredictable temperament, which can transform scoring conditions rapidly.

The current landscape of professional golf looks dramatically different from 2018, with Scheffler now the dominant figure in the sport. However, Koepka returns to the site of his triumph in strong form, though a recent hand injury has emerged at an inopportune moment. Rory McIlroy pursues his second major championship of the year, while Jordan Spieth seeks his first major title in nearly a decade.

Expert Predictions Favor Fitzpatrick

Betting experts and golf analysts have converged on several compelling picks for the championship. Pat Mayo of Underdog/Mayo Media Network backs Matt Fitzpatrick at +2250 odds. The already-crowned U.S. Open champion has climbed to No. 4 in the world rankings with three victories over recent months, and his ball-striking remains immaculate. Mayo emphasizes Fitzpatrick’s elite ability to navigate wind and firm conditions, particularly his now-exceptional chipping, which ranks him sixth on tour in strokes gained around the green this season.

Keith Stewart, CEO of Read The Line, favors Xander Schauffele at +1850. In nine U.S. Open starts, Schauffele has posted seven top-10 finishes and never finished worse than T-14. The two-time major champion’s best career record comes at the national championship, starting with a T-5 finish in his 2017 debut when he had to qualify for the tournament. This season alone, Schauffele posted third place at the Players Championship, ninth at the Masters, and seventh at the PGA Championship.

Fitzpatrick’s Confidence Shines Through

Andy Nesbitt of Sports Illustrated predicts Fitzpatrick will win at -1, citing the Englishman’s remarkable Monday press conference performance. Fitzpatrick defended the 2018 setup at Shinnecock even though Koepka’s winning score reached one-over par, and he spoke enthusiastically about chipping a five-iron into the 155-yard par-3 11th hole during practice rounds. Fitzpatrick relishes the challenge of demanding courses where thorough preparation and precise shot-making determine success, displaying confidence rather than fear regarding Shinnecock’s infamous difficulty.

The champion’s credentials support this optimism. Fitzpatrick won the 2022 U.S. Open on a difficult setup at The Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts, and has captured three wins on the PGA Tour this season. His combination of technical excellence and mental fortitude makes him a formidable contender.

Local Heroes Seek Breakthrough Moments

Dan Evans backs Cameron Young to win at even par, predicting the New York native will capture his first major in his own backyard. Evans believes Shinnecock won’t surrender the low scores many forecast, and Young will make the fewest mistakes under pressure. Young served as Captain America at the Bethpage Ryder Cup and won the Players Championship in March, building momentum heading into this week. Fellow local competitor Chris Gotterup also searches for his first major breakthrough.

Ryan Noonan of Betsperts recommends Russell Henley at 40-1 odds, highlighting that Henley’s accuracy represents a true weapon at venues like Shinnecock. Precision off the tee and strategic course management become paramount when firm conditions and swirling winds punish even slight misses.

Championship Stage Set for Memorable Week

Shinnecock Hills creates the perfect stage for another memorable chapter in U.S. Open history. The best players in the world face one of golf’s most storied venues and unpredictable weather conditions for the right to hoist the trophy Sunday evening in Southampton. Emotions will run high as competitors ranging from anxious to overwhelmed to proud step to the first tee Thursday morning, each carrying their unique journey to this moment.

The tournament promises compelling storylines across multiple dimensions-defending champions seeking validation, young amateurs chasing breakthrough performances, international representatives making history, and seasoned veterans pursuing elusive major titles. Whether Fitzpatrick delivers on his confident predictions, Schauffele extends his remarkable U.S. Open consistency, or a qualifier surprises the field, this championship will deliver drama, excellence, and unforgettable moments worthy of Shinnecock’s legendary reputation.