California Governor Race: Becerra Surges in New PollUS, California governor race, Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, California politics, political debate stage

California’s Governor Race Shifts as Becerra Rises and Democrats Clash

California’s race for governor has entered a dramatic new phase. Democrat Xavier Becerra has surged from single-digit polling to the top of the field. His rise has reshaped a race that many once considered predictable. The contest now looks increasingly competitive and unpredictable.

A new poll from EMC Research surveyed 1,000 likely voters between April 21 and 26. It placed Becerra tied for first with Republican Steve Hilton. Both candidates earned 19% support among likely voters. The poll carried a margin of error of ±3.1 percentage points.

Republican Chad Bianco and Democratic billionaire Tom Steyer each received 14% support. Democrats Katie Porter and Matt Mahan trailed at 8% and 7%, respectively. The fractured Democratic field has allowed GOP candidates to remain competitive. Party leaders have watched nervously as no single Democrat has consolidated the base.

A Fractured Democratic Field Hands Republicans an Opening

Strong Republicans are competing in a deep-blue state. That development has alarmed Democratic strategists across California. The Republican presence has grown more significant as Democrats divide their vote. No clear Democratic frontrunner had emerged until Becerra’s recent surge.

Two Republican candidates have frequently led Democratic rivals in polling. Trump-endorsed Steve Hilton now ties Becerra at the very top. The contest has drawn national attention because of this dynamic. Observers across the country are watching California closely.

Becerra entered the race quietly but has built momentum fast. He presents himself as a steady, experienced leader with a calm approach. His campaign has attracted top political talent from Governor Gavin Newsom’s inner circle. That connection has boosted his credibility with key Democratic networks.

Newsom Allies Quietly Rally Behind Becerra

Governor Newsom has repeatedly refused to endorse any candidate in the race. However, his top allies have moved quietly toward Becerra. Becerra hired Lindsey Cobia and Courtni Pugh as senior political advisers. Both consultants have worked with Newsom since 2015 and 2021, respectively.

Cobia leads Newsom’s national political operation, called Campaign for Democracy. She has been described as Newsom’s “Swiss army knife” for strategy and key decisions. Two firms that powered Newsom’s digital fundraising have also joined Becerra’s campaign. Those firms are Lamont Digital and Aisle 518.

Becerra recorded the highest favorability ratings of any candidate in the new poll. A striking 72% of Democrats hold a positive impression of him. Among all likely voters, 47% view him favorably. That broad appeal gives his campaign a strong foundation heading into the final stretch.

Democrats Clash in Combative Pomona Debate

Six leading Democratic candidates faced off Tuesday night at Pomona College. The CBS debate was chaotic, combative, and often difficult to follow. The debate took place with less than a week before voters would receive their ballots. No candidate appeared to achieve a decisive breakout moment.

The chaotic format frustrated both candidates and viewers. Former Orange County Representative Katie Porter summed up the mood bluntly. “This is worse than my teenagers at dinner,” she declared during the event. Her comment drew attention but did little to shift the race’s dynamics.

Porter trained her fire on Steyer during the debate. She challenged his claims about his climate-friendly credentials and policy positions. Steyer has promoted a policy he calls “making polluters pay.” Porter responded pointedly, asking, “How about profiteers pay?”

Steyer’s Fossil Fuel Past Becomes a Campaign Flashpoint

Porter’s attack targeted Steyer’s history of investing in fossil fuels. Steyer built a significant part of his fortune through those investments. He later divested from them and devoted himself to climate advocacy. His campaign defended that transition, but critics pressed him on the contradiction.

Steyer leads fellow Democrats in polling and has already spent at least $132 million of his own money. His consolidation of support among left-wing activists has made him a major target. Progressive groups and Becerra’s campaign have also highlighted Steyer’s ties to fossil fuel profits. The attacks have chipped away at his climate-friendly image.

San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan, a moderate Democrat, directed his attacks at Becerra. Mahan criticized Becerra’s record as President Biden’s Health and Human Services secretary. He also challenged Becerra for resisting policy specifics when pressed. Becerra even argued with a debate moderator over the legality of one of his own proposals.

Becerra Faces Questions Over His Record and Past Controversies

Becerra proposed calling a state of emergency to freeze home insurance rates. A debate moderator challenged him directly on the legality of that plan. Becerra disputed the moderator’s legal assessment in a notable exchange. The moment highlighted the scrutiny that now follows his rise in the polls.

Critics have also raised serious concerns about Becerra’s tenure at the Department of Health and Human Services. Under his watch, the department lost contact with 85,000 unaccompanied migrant children. Investigators later found some of those children laboring in factories under exploitative conditions. Becerra’s opponents have used this record to challenge his fitness for the governorship.

Becerra also faces questions tied to a Sacramento corruption scandal. His former aide, Sean McCluskie, pleaded guilty to skimming $225,000 from Becerra’s dormant campaign account. The funds allegedly went toward personal use. Becerra has denied any knowledge of McCluskie’s actions.

Online Momentum and Influencer Strategy Fuel Becerra’s Rise

Becerra’s campaign adviser Michael Bustamante described the candidate’s online support as “all organic.” A wave of online influencers has amplified Becerra’s message across social media. That digital momentum has coincided with his surge in polling and fundraising. The campaign has used this energy to project confidence heading into the final weeks.

His rise follows the exit of former Representative Eric Swalwell from the race. Swalwell dropped out amid sexual assault allegations and resigned from Congress. Many of his supporters appear to have shifted toward Becerra. That transfer of support accelerated Becerra’s climb in the polls.

California voters will soon begin receiving their ballots by mail. The race remains highly competitive across both parties. Becerra has emerged as the Democrat to beat, but serious questions about his record remain. The coming weeks will determine whether his surge can survive the growing scrutiny.